IowaHSPlayoffsPresented by

Iowa 8-Player Playoff Machine

Starting…

Who makes the 8-Player playoffs, where they're seeded and who they'd play. Pick your team, then tap any game in the game list to change its winner and watch everything update.

Settings
  • Focus team: the team the Team and Pods pages are about. Anyone can pick their own. To link straight to a team, add # and its name to the page link, e.g. #johnston or #dallas-center-grimes.
  • Reset / Favorites: "Reset every game to the odds" clears your picks. "Favorites win every game" gives one exact season with no upsets. Your own picks in the game list always override the odds.
  • Non-5A games: games between two teams outside 5A, like 4A vs 4A. They never decide who's in directly, but they shift RPI. If Le Mars (4A) loses more games, every 5A team that played Le Mars gets a slightly lower opponents' win %. "Play out at the model's odds" lets them go either way (more realistic). "Favorites always win" locks them, which is needed for one exact RPI table.
  • Runs: how many seasons to simulate. More runs means steadier numbers, but slower. With 15 or fewer uncertain games the page skips simulation and runs every combination exactly.
  • Save scenario: keeps your picks in this browser only; other people don't see them.

Remaining 5A games

8-Player playoff projections at a glance

Updated Sep 26, 2026. Title favorites: Bishop Garrigan (37%), Woodbine (26%), Audubon (14%), Iowa Valley (12%), Edgewood-Colesburg (6%). On the bubble: Moravia (88%), GTRA (84%), Springville (83%), North Tama (80%), Fremont-Mills (72%), Central City (71%), Wayne (59%), GMG (35%).

TeamRecordDistrictWin districtMake playoffsReach DomeWin state
English Valleys4-0D510%>99%2%<1%
Gladbrook-Reinbeck5-0D672%>99%12%<1%
Coon Rapids-Bayard5-1D919%>99%8%<1%
Remsen St. Mary's4-2D121%>99%2%<1%
WACO4-2D54%>99%<1%<1%
Iowa Valley6-0D586%>99%54%12%
Lenox3-2D87%>99%5%<1%
Clarksville4-1D628%>99%<1%<1%
Audubon5-0D981%>99%62%14%
Montezuma4-1D7>99%>99%4%<1%
Woodbine5-0D1086%>99%77%26%
Edgewood-Colesburg5-0D4>99%>99%41%6%
Bishop Garrigan4-1D292%>99%82%37%
Turkey Valley3-2D347%>99%<1%<1%
Bedford5-0D893%>99%31%4%
Don Bosco3-2D353%>99%<1%0%
Kingsley-Pierson5-1D178%>99%2%<1%
Murray4-1D8<1%>99%2%<1%
Boyer Valley4-1D1014%>99%3%<1%
Southeast Warren3-2D7<1%>99%<1%0%
North Union6-0D26%99%2%<1%
Riceville3-2D20%98%8%<1%
Kee4-1D40%97%<1%0%
CAM2-3D90%97%<1%0%
Janesville2-3D30%96%<1%0%
Moravia3-2D7<1%88%<1%0%
GTRA2-3D1<1%84%<1%0%
Springville3-3D40%83%<1%0%
North Tama3-2D6<1%80%<1%0%
Fremont-Mills2-4D100%72%<1%<1%
Central City3-2D40%71%<1%0%
Wayne1-4D70%59%0%0%
GMG4-2D60%35%0%0%
St. Edmond3-3D1<1%33%0%0%
West Bend-Mallard4-2D21%32%<1%<1%
East Mills4-3D100%31%0%0%
East Union2-2D80%22%<1%<1%
Tripoli2-3D3<1%7%0%0%
Glidden-Ralston2-3D9<1%5%0%0%
West Central1-4D30%4%0%0%
Baxter3-3D70%4%0%0%
Stanton3-3D100%2%0%0%
Colo-Nesco2-3D60%2%0%0%
Twin Cedars1-4D70%<1%0%0%
Ar-We-Va0-5D90%<1%0%0%
Central Elkader2-3D40%<1%0%0%
Dunkerton0-5D30%<1%0%0%
Lamoni2-3D80%<1%0%0%
Sidney0-5D100%<1%0%0%
Collins-Maxwell1-4D60%<1%0%0%
Cedar Ridge Christian2-3D30%<1%0%0%
Harris-Lake Park0-5D10%<1%0%0%
Belle Plaine0-5D50%0%0%0%
Calamus-Wheatland0-4D40%0%0%0%
Easton Valley0-5D40%0%0%0%
Griswold2-4D90%0%0%0%
HLV3-3D50%0%0%0%
Melcher-Dallas0-5D70%0%0%0%
Meskwaki Settlement0-5D60%0%0%0%
Newell-Fonda1-4D10%0%0%0%
North Iowa2-4D20%0%0%0%
Northwood-Kensett2-3D20%0%0%0%
Seymour1-5D80%0%0%0%
Winfield-Mt Union3-3D50%0%0%0%