8-Player, District 3 · 3-2 (3-0 district) · Updated Sep 26, 2026
Turkey Valley (3-2) is projected to finish 5-3 and makes the 8-Player playoffs in >99% of 20,000 simulated seasons, most likely finishing 2nd in District 3 (wins it 47%). Its most likely first playoff game: home against D2 3rd Riceville. Chance to reach the UNI-Dome semifinals: <1%; to win the 8-Player state title: <1%.
Open the interactive 8-Player playoff machine for Turkey Valley →| Week | Opponent | Our pick | Chance | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wk 6 | at Don Bosco | Don Bosco | 53% | Toss-up |
| Wk 7 | at Tripoli | Turkey Valley | 94% | Lock |
| Wk 8 | vs Cedar Ridge Christian | Turkey Valley | 98% | Lock |
Lock picks (90%+) were right 97% of the time on Iowa games from 2021 to 2025.
| Team | Overall | District | 1st | 2nd | 3rd | Playoffs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Don Bosco | 3-2 | 3-0 | 53% | 46% | <1% | >99% |
| Turkey Valley | 3-2 | 3-0 | 47% | 53% | <1% | >99% |
| Janesville | 2-3 | 2-2 | 0% | <1% | 94% | 96% |
| West Central | 1-4 | 1-3 | 0% | 0% | 4% | 4% |
| Tripoli | 2-3 | 2-1 | <1% | <1% | 1% | 7% |
| Dunkerton | 0-5 | 0-3 | 0% | 0% | <1% | <1% |
| Cedar Ridge Christian | 2-3 | 1-3 | 0% | 0% | 0% | <1% |
Chance of each district finish. Ties go by head-to-head, then the 17-point tiebreaker.