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Iowa Class 2A Playoff Machine

Starting…

Who makes the Class 2A playoffs, where they're seeded and who they'd play. Pick your team, then tap any game in the game list to change its winner and watch everything update.

Settings
  • Focus team: the team the Team and Pods pages are about. Anyone can pick their own. To link straight to a team, add # and its name to the page link, e.g. #johnston or #dallas-center-grimes.
  • Reset / Favorites: "Reset every game to the odds" clears your picks. "Favorites win every game" gives one exact season with no upsets. Your own picks in the game list always override the odds.
  • Non-5A games: games between two teams outside 5A, like 4A vs 4A. They never decide who's in directly, but they shift RPI. If Le Mars (4A) loses more games, every 5A team that played Le Mars gets a slightly lower opponents' win %. "Play out at the model's odds" lets them go either way (more realistic). "Favorites always win" locks them, which is needed for one exact RPI table.
  • Runs: how many seasons to simulate. More runs means steadier numbers, but slower. With 15 or fewer uncertain games the page skips simulation and runs every combination exactly.
  • Save scenario: keeps your picks in this browser only; other people don't see them.

Remaining 5A games

Class 2A playoff projections at a glance

Updated Sep 26, 2026. Title favorites: Kuemper Catholic (72%), Central Lyon/George-Little Rock (9%), Crestwood (7%), OABCIG (5%), Roland-Story (2%). On the bubble: Anamosa (85%), Chariton (85%), Monticello (75%), West Branch (71%), West Burlington (69%), Boyden-Hull/Rock Valley (67%), West Liberty (66%), Mediapolis (66%).

TeamRecordDistrictWin districtMake playoffsReach DomeWin state
PCM2-3D748%>99%3%<1%
Roland-Story4-1D483%>99%53%2%
Van Meter4-1D898%>99%28%2%
Central Lyon/George-Little Rock5-0D165%>99%48%9%
Alburnett4-1D598%>99%18%<1%
Kuemper Catholic5-0D298%>99%85%72%
Crestwood5-0D366%>99%54%7%
Mid-Prairie4-1D690%>99%15%<1%
Waukon3-2D328%>99%20%<1%
Osage5-0D36%>99%12%<1%
Albia4-1D78%>99%<1%0%
Grand View Christian4-1D82%>99%<1%0%
Centerville5-1D744%>99%1%0%
Dike-New Hartford3-2D414%>99%2%<1%
Western Christian3-2D134%>99%20%1%
Clarinda3-2D8<1%>99%<1%0%
Wilton3-2D66%>99%14%<1%
Hampton-Dumont-CAL3-2D43%99%<1%0%
OABCIG4-1D2<1%99%11%5%
Spirit Lake3-2D22%97%9%<1%
Pella Christian2-5D70%97%<1%0%
Unity Christian1-4D1<1%91%<1%<1%
Anamosa3-2D5<1%85%0%0%
Chariton2-4D8<1%85%<1%0%
Monticello1-4D5<1%75%<1%0%
West Branch1-4D50%71%<1%0%
West Burlington4-1D62%69%<1%<1%
Boyden-Hull/Rock Valley2-3D1<1%67%<1%0%
West Liberty3-2D6<1%66%<1%0%
Mediapolis3-2D61%66%<1%0%
Denver2-3D40%66%<1%0%
Southeast Valley4-1D2<1%62%2%<1%
North Fayette Valley2-3D30%58%<1%0%
Bellevue2-3D5<1%52%<1%0%
Okoboji4-1D2<1%42%1%<1%
Cherokee Washington1-4D10%42%<1%0%
New Hampton2-3D30%37%<1%0%
Vinton-Shellsburg2-3D40%36%<1%0%
Tipton2-3D50%16%0%0%
Woodward-Granger0-5D80%16%0%0%
Forest City0-5D30%4%0%0%
South Tama County3-3D70%4%0%0%
Sheldon0-5D10%<1%0%0%
Central Lee2-3D60%<1%0%0%
Oelwein0-5D40%<1%0%0%
Clarke Community1-4D80%<1%0%0%
Estherville Lincoln Central0-5D20%0%0%0%