8-Player, District 8 · 4-1 (2-1 district) · Updated Sep 26, 2026
Murray (4-1) is projected to finish 6-2 and makes the 8-Player playoffs in >99% of 20,000 simulated seasons, most likely finishing 3rd in District 8 (wins it <1%). Its most likely first playoff game: at D6 2nd Clarksville. Chance to reach the UNI-Dome semifinals: 2%; to win the 8-Player state title: <1%.
Open the interactive 8-Player playoff machine for Murray →| Week | Opponent | Our pick | Chance | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wk 6 | vs Bedford | Bedford | 72% | Lean |
| Wk 7 | at Winfield-Mt Union | Murray | 87% | Strong |
| Wk 8 | vs Seymour | Murray | >99% | Lock |
Lock picks (90%+) were right 97% of the time on Iowa games from 2021 to 2025.
| Team | Overall | District | 1st | 2nd | 3rd | Playoffs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bedford | 5-0 | 2-0 | 93% | 3% | <1% | >99% |
| Lenox | 3-2 | 3-1 | 7% | 93% | <1% | >99% |
| Murray | 4-1 | 2-1 | <1% | 4% | 96% | >99% |
| East Union | 2-2 | 1-2 | 0% | <1% | 3% | 22% |
| Lamoni | 2-3 | 1-2 | 0% | 0% | <1% | <1% |
| Seymour | 1-5 | 0-3 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Chance of each district finish. Ties go by head-to-head, then the 17-point tiebreaker.