Class 2A, District 5 · 1-4 (1-1 district) · Updated Sep 26, 2026
Monticello (1-4) is projected to finish 3-5 and makes the Class 2A playoffs in 75% of 20,000 simulated seasons, most likely finishing 2nd in District 5 (wins it <1%). Its most likely first playoff game: home against D3 3rd Osage. Chance to reach the UNI-Dome semifinals: <1%; to win the Class 2A state title: 0%.
Open the interactive Class 2A playoff machine for Monticello →| Week | Opponent | Our pick | Chance | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wk 6 | vs Anamosa | Monticello | 70% | Lean |
| Wk 7 | at Alburnett | Alburnett | >99% | Lock |
| Wk 8 | vs Tipton | Monticello | 69% | Lean |
Lock picks (90%+) were right 97% of the time on Iowa games from 2021 to 2025.
| Team | Overall | District | 1st | 2nd | 3rd | 4th | Playoffs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alburnett | 4-1 | 2-0 | 98% | 2% | <1% | <1% | >99% |
| Monticello | 1-4 | 1-1 | <1% | 37% | 18% | 19% | 75% |
| Anamosa | 3-2 | 2-0 | <1% | 28% | 29% | 27% | 85% |
| West Branch | 1-4 | 0-2 | 0% | 19% | 28% | 24% | 71% |
| Bellevue | 2-3 | 1-1 | <1% | 12% | 20% | 19% | 52% |
| Tipton | 2-3 | 0-2 | 0% | 1% | 5% | 10% | 16% |
Chance of each district finish. Ties go by head-to-head, then the 17-point tiebreaker.