Class 2A, District 2 · 3-2 (1-1 district) · Updated Sep 26, 2026
Spirit Lake (3-2) is projected to finish 5-3 and makes the Class 2A playoffs in 97% of 20,000 simulated seasons, most likely finishing 3rd in District 2 (wins it 2%). Its most likely first playoff game: at D1 2nd Western Christian. Chance to reach the UNI-Dome semifinals: 9%; to win the Class 2A state title: <1%.
Open the interactive Class 2A playoff machine for Spirit Lake →| Week | Opponent | Our pick | Chance | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wk 6 | vs Kuemper Catholic | Kuemper Catholic | 92% | Lock |
| Wk 7 | at Southeast Valley | Spirit Lake | 59% | Toss-up |
| Wk 8 | vs Estherville Lincoln Central | Spirit Lake | >99% | Lock |
Lock picks (90%+) were right 97% of the time on Iowa games from 2021 to 2025.
| Team | Overall | District | 1st | 2nd | 3rd | 4th | Playoffs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kuemper Catholic | 5-0 | 2-0 | 98% | 2% | <1% | <1% | >99% |
| OABCIG | 4-1 | 1-1 | <1% | 78% | 17% | 3% | 99% |
| Spirit Lake | 3-2 | 1-1 | 2% | 10% | 63% | 23% | 97% |
| Southeast Valley | 4-1 | 1-1 | <1% | 8% | 18% | 36% | 62% |
| Okoboji | 4-1 | 1-1 | <1% | 2% | 2% | 38% | 42% |
| Estherville Lincoln Central | 0-5 | 0-2 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Chance of each district finish. Ties go by head-to-head, then the 17-point tiebreaker.