Class 5A · 3-2 · Updated Sep 26, 2026
Waukee (3-2) is projected to finish 6-3 and makes the Class 5A playoffs in >99% of 20,000 simulated seasons, most likely as the 6 seed (range 2–16). Its most likely first playoff game: home against #10 Dallas Center-Grimes. Chance to reach the UNI-Dome semifinals: 27%; to win the Class 5A state title: 3%.
Open the interactive Class 5A playoff machine for Waukee →| Week | Opponent | Our pick | Chance | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wk 6 | at Marshalltown | Waukee | >99% | Lock |
| Wk 7 | vs Dowling Catholic | Dowling Catholic | 68% | Lean |
| Wk 8 | vs Waukee Northwest | Waukee | 60% | Toss-up |
| Wk 9 | at Waterloo West | Waukee | 97% | Lock |
Lock picks (90%+) were right 97% of the time on Iowa games from 2021 to 2025.
| # | Team | Record | RPI now | Projected RPI | Playoffs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Dowling Catholic | 4-1 | 0.6800 | 0.6581 | >99% |
| 4 | Southeast Polk | 5-0 | 0.7220 | 0.6529 | >99% |
| 5 | Sioux City East | 4-1 | 0.6290 | 0.6108 | >99% |
| 6 | Waukee | 3-2 | 0.6160 | 0.6042 | >99% |
| 7 | Cedar Falls | 4-1 | 0.5860 | 0.6011 | 99% |
| 8 | Iowa City Liberty | 3-2 | 0.5910 | 0.6005 | >99% |
| 9 | Bettendorf | 4-1 | 0.6040 | 0.5905 | >99% |
The top 16 in final RPI make the Class 5A playoffs.