Des Moines Lincoln Football Playoff Chances

Class 5A · 3-2 · Updated Sep 27, 2026

Make playoffs<1%

Projected record4-5

Likeliest seed–

Host first game0%

Reach UNI-Dome<1%

Win state<1%

Des Moines Lincoln (3-2) is projected to finish 4-5 and makes the Class 5A playoffs in <1% of 20,000 simulated seasons, currently outside the playoff field. Chance to reach the UNI-Dome semifinals: <1%; to win the Class 5A state title: <1%.

Open the interactive Class 5A playoff machine for Des Moines Lincoln →

Remaining schedule and picks

Week	Opponent	Our pick	Chance	Confidence
Wk 6	vs Indianola	Indianola	94%	Lock
Wk 7	at Urbandale	Urbandale	96%	Lock
Wk 8	at Des Moines East	Des Moines Lincoln	59%	Toss-up
Wk 9	vs Valley	Valley	98%	Lock

Lock picks (90%+) were right 97% of the time on Iowa games from 2021 to 2025.

Where it sits in the RPI

#	Team	Record	RPI now	Projected RPI	Playoffs
26	Waterloo West	2-3	0.4600	0.4473	<1%
27	Dubuque Senior	2-3	0.4550	0.4422	<1%
28	Ottumwa	2-3	0.4440	0.4128	<1%
29	Des Moines Lincoln	3-2	0.4700	0.4124	<1%
30	Ames	1-4	0.3880	0.4001	0%
31	Cedar Rapids Jefferson	1-4	0.3580	0.3859	<1%
32	Dubuque Hempstead	0-5	0.3140	0.3463	0%

The top 16 in final RPI make the Class 5A playoffs.

Des Moines Lincoln Football Playoff Chances

Remaining schedule and picks

Where it sits in the RPI

Other Class 5A teams