Class 5A · 3-2 · Updated Sep 26, 2026
Urbandale (3-2) is projected to finish 7-2 and makes the Class 5A playoffs in 70% of 20,000 simulated seasons, most likely as the 16 seed (range 8–16). Its most likely first playoff game: at #1 Ankeny. Chance to reach the UNI-Dome semifinals: 1%; to win the Class 5A state title: <1%.
Open the interactive Class 5A playoff machine for Urbandale →| Week | Opponent | Our pick | Chance | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wk 6 | at Sioux City North | Urbandale | 96% | Lock |
| Wk 7 | vs Des Moines Lincoln | Urbandale | 96% | Lock |
| Wk 8 | at Norwalk | Urbandale | 73% | Lean |
| Wk 9 | vs Indianola | Urbandale | 54% | Toss-up |
Lock picks (90%+) were right 97% of the time on Iowa games from 2021 to 2025.
| # | Team | Record | RPI now | Projected RPI | Playoffs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Valley | 2-3 | 0.5240 | 0.5540 | 88% |
| 13 | Indianola | 3-2 | 0.5270 | 0.5446 | 78% |
| 14 | Prairie | 3-2 | 0.5210 | 0.5401 | 70% |
| 15 | Urbandale | 3-2 | 0.5040 | 0.5361 | 70% |
| 16 | Iowa City High | 2-3 | 0.4990 | 0.5268 | 54% |
| 17 | Pleasant Valley | 3-2 | 0.4950 | 0.5260 | 56% |
| 18 | Iowa City West | 2-3 | 0.4640 | 0.4941 | 18% |
The top 16 in final RPI make the Class 5A playoffs.