Class 5A · 2-3 · Updated Sep 27, 2026
Iowa City High (2-3) is projected to finish 4-5 and makes the Class 5A playoffs in 54% of 20,000 simulated seasons, most likely as the 18 seed (range 5–16). Its most likely first playoff game: at #1 Johnston. Chance to reach the UNI-Dome semifinals: 2%; to win the Class 5A state title: <1%.
Open the interactive Class 5A playoff machine for Iowa City High →| Week | Opponent | Our pick | Chance | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wk 6 | at Southeast Polk | Southeast Polk | 85% | Strong |
| Wk 7 | vs Des Moines East | Iowa City High | 99% | Lock |
| Wk 8 | vs Iowa City Liberty | Iowa City Liberty | 63% | Lean |
| Wk 9 | at Ottumwa | Iowa City High | 95% | Lock |
Lock picks (90%+) were right 97% of the time on Iowa games from 2021 to 2025.
| # | Team | Record | RPI now | Projected RPI | Playoffs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Indianola | 3-2 | 0.5270 | 0.5446 | 78% |
| 14 | Prairie | 3-2 | 0.5210 | 0.5401 | 70% |
| 15 | Urbandale | 3-2 | 0.5040 | 0.5361 | 70% |
| 16 | Iowa City High | 2-3 | 0.4990 | 0.5268 | 54% |
| 17 | Pleasant Valley | 3-2 | 0.4950 | 0.5260 | 56% |
| 18 | Iowa City West | 2-3 | 0.4640 | 0.4941 | 18% |
| 19 | Ankeny Centennial | 2-3 | 0.5210 | 0.4913 | 16% |
The top 16 in final RPI make the Class 5A playoffs.