Class 5A · 1-4 · Updated Sep 26, 2026
Linn-Mar (1-4) is projected to finish 3-6 and makes the Class 5A playoffs in 2% of 20,000 simulated seasons, most likely as the 26 seed (range 13–16). Chance to reach the UNI-Dome semifinals: <1%; to win the Class 5A state title: <1%.
Open the interactive Class 5A playoff machine for Linn-Mar →| Week | Opponent | Our pick | Chance | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wk 6 | at Pleasant Valley | Pleasant Valley | 61% | Lean |
| Wk 7 | vs Muscatine | Linn-Mar | 99% | Lock |
| Wk 8 | at Cedar Falls | Cedar Falls | 79% | Strong |
| Wk 9 | vs Iowa City West | Linn-Mar | 63% | Lean |
Lock picks (90%+) were right 97% of the time on Iowa games from 2021 to 2025.
| # | Team | Record | RPI now | Projected RPI | Playoffs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | Des Moines Roosevelt | 3-2 | 0.5380 | 0.4846 | 12% |
| 23 | Council Bluffs Lincoln | 3-2 | 0.4810 | 0.4834 | 5% |
| 24 | Davenport Central | 3-2 | 0.4820 | 0.4502 | <1% |
| 25 | Linn-Mar | 1-4 | 0.4090 | 0.4497 | 2% |
| 26 | Waterloo West | 2-3 | 0.4600 | 0.4473 | <1% |
| 27 | Dubuque Senior | 2-3 | 0.4550 | 0.4422 | <1% |
| 28 | Ottumwa | 2-3 | 0.4440 | 0.4128 | <1% |
The top 16 in final RPI make the Class 5A playoffs.