Class 5A · 2-3 · Updated Sep 26, 2026
Norwalk (2-3) is projected to finish 4-5 and makes the Class 5A playoffs in 17% of 20,000 simulated seasons, most likely as the 20 seed (range 8–16). Its most likely first playoff game: at #1 Johnston. Chance to reach the UNI-Dome semifinals: <1%; to win the Class 5A state title: <1%.
Open the interactive Class 5A playoff machine for Norwalk →| Week | Opponent | Our pick | Chance | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wk 6 | at Des Moines East | Norwalk | 86% | Strong |
| Wk 7 | vs Ottumwa | Norwalk | 85% | Strong |
| Wk 8 | vs Urbandale | Urbandale | 73% | Lean |
| Wk 9 | at Waukee Northwest | Waukee Northwest | 96% | Lock |
Lock picks (90%+) were right 97% of the time on Iowa games from 2021 to 2025.
| # | Team | Record | RPI now | Projected RPI | Playoffs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | Iowa City West | 2-3 | 0.4640 | 0.4941 | 18% |
| 19 | Ankeny Centennial | 2-3 | 0.5210 | 0.4913 | 16% |
| 20 | Cedar Rapids Kennedy | 3-2 | 0.4750 | 0.4905 | 16% |
| 21 | Norwalk | 2-3 | 0.5070 | 0.4904 | 17% |
| 22 | Des Moines Roosevelt | 3-2 | 0.5380 | 0.4846 | 12% |
| 23 | Council Bluffs Lincoln | 3-2 | 0.4810 | 0.4834 | 5% |
| 24 | Davenport Central | 3-2 | 0.4820 | 0.4502 | <1% |
The top 16 in final RPI make the Class 5A playoffs.