Xavier Football Playoff Chances
Class 4A, District 2 · 5-0 (1-0 district) · Updated Sep 26, 2026
Make playoffs>99%
Projected record9-0
Win district69%
Host first game97%
Reach UNI-Dome85%
Win state42%
Xavier (5-0) is projected to finish 9-0 and makes the Class 4A playoffs in >99% of 20,000 simulated seasons, most likely finishing 1st in District 2 (wins it 69%). Its most likely first playoff game: home against #16 Decorah. Chance to reach the UNI-Dome semifinals: 85%; to win the Class 4A state title: 42%.
Open the interactive Class 4A playoff machine for Xavier →Remaining schedule and picks
| Week | Opponent | Our pick | Chance | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wk 6 | at Waverly-Shell Rock | Xavier | 69% | Lean |
| Wk 7 | vs Waterloo East | Xavier | >99% | Lock |
| Wk 8 | at Decorah | Xavier | 91% | Lock |
| Wk 9 | vs Mason City | Xavier | 100% | Lock |
Lock picks (90%+) were right 97% of the time on Iowa games from 2021 to 2025.
District 2 standings outlook
| Team | Overall | District | 1st | 2nd | 3rd | 4th | Playoffs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Xavier | 5-0 | 1-0 | 69% | 28% | 3% | <1% | >99% |
| Waverly-Shell Rock | 4-1 | 1-0 | 28% | 58% | 12% | 2% | >99% |
| Decorah | 2-3 | 1-0 | 2% | 12% | 60% | 26% | 42% |
| Cedar Rapids Washington | 2-3 | 0-1 | <1% | 2% | 26% | 67% | 4% |
| Mason City | 1-4 | 0-1 | 0% | 0% | <1% | 1% | 0% |
| Waterloo East | 2-3 | 0-1 | 0% | 0% | <1% | 3% | 0% |
Chance of each district finish. Ties go by head-to-head, then the 17-point tiebreaker.
Other Class 4A teams
- ADM
- Ballard
- Bondurant-Farrar
- Boone
- Burlington
- Carlisle
- Cedar Rapids Washington
- Clear Creek Amana
- Clinton
- Council Bluffs Jefferson
- Davenport North
- Davenport West
- Decorah
- Denison-Schleswig
- Des Moines North
- Fort Dodge
- Gilbert
- Glenwood
- Grinnell
- Le Mars
- Lewis Central
- Marion
- Mason City
- Newton
- North Polk
- North Scott
- Oskaloosa
- Pella
- Sergeant Bluff-Luton
- Sioux City West
- Spencer
- Storm Lake
- Waterloo East
- Waverly-Shell Rock
- Western Dubuque