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Spencer Football Playoff Chances

Class 4A, District 1 · 3-2 (1-0 district) · Updated Sep 26, 2026

Make playoffs85%
Projected record5-4
Win district1%
Host first game5%
Reach UNI-Dome<1%
Win state0%

Spencer (3-2) is projected to finish 5-4 and makes the Class 4A playoffs in 85% of 20,000 simulated seasons, most likely finishing 3rd in District 1 (wins it 1%). Its most likely first playoff game: at #3 Western Dubuque. Chance to reach the UNI-Dome semifinals: <1%; to win the Class 4A state title: 0%.

Open the interactive Class 4A playoff machine for Spencer →

Remaining schedule and picks

WeekOpponentOur pickChanceConfidence
Wk 6at Fort DodgeFort Dodge84%Strong
Wk 7at Sioux City WestSpencer83%Strong
Wk 8vs Storm LakeSpencer>99%Lock
Wk 9at Sergeant Bluff-LutonSergeant Bluff-Luton95%Lock

Lock picks (90%+) were right 97% of the time on Iowa games from 2021 to 2025.

District 1 standings outlook

TeamOverallDistrict1st2nd3rd4thPlayoffs
Sergeant Bluff-Luton5-01-098%2%<1%<1%>99%
Fort Dodge4-10-1<1%75%19%5%97%
Spencer3-21-01%17%64%13%85%
Le Mars2-30-1<1%5%14%67%15%
Sioux City West4-11-0<1%<1%3%15%1%
Storm Lake1-40-10%0%<1%0%0%

Chance of each district finish. Ties go by head-to-head, then the 17-point tiebreaker.

Other Class 4A teams