Class 4A, District 5 · 3-2 (0-1 district) · Updated Sep 26, 2026
North Polk (3-2) is projected to finish 7-2 and makes the Class 4A playoffs in 98% of 20,000 simulated seasons, most likely finishing 2nd in District 5 (wins it 31%). Its most likely first playoff game: home against #12 Glenwood. Chance to reach the UNI-Dome semifinals: 24%; to win the Class 4A state title: 3%.
Open the interactive Class 4A playoff machine for North Polk →| Week | Opponent | Our pick | Chance | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wk 6 | vs Bondurant-Farrar | North Polk | 98% | Lock |
| Wk 7 | at Des Moines North | North Polk | 100% | Lock |
| Wk 8 | at Carlisle | North Polk | 70% | Lean |
| Wk 9 | vs Gilbert | North Polk | 90% | Strong |
Lock picks (90%+) were right 97% of the time on Iowa games from 2021 to 2025.
| Team | Overall | District | 1st | 2nd | 3rd | 4th | Playoffs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| North Polk | 3-2 | 0-1 | 31% | 37% | 22% | 10% | 98% |
| Ballard | 3-2 | 1-0 | 39% | 20% | 18% | 20% | 70% |
| Carlisle | 5-0 | 1-0 | 22% | 30% | 28% | 15% | 97% |
| Gilbert | 4-1 | 1-0 | 8% | 12% | 32% | 48% | 48% |
| Bondurant-Farrar | 0-5 | 0-1 | <1% | <1% | <1% | 8% | <1% |
| Des Moines North | 0-5 | 0-1 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Chance of each district finish. Ties go by head-to-head, then the 17-point tiebreaker.