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Sergeant Bluff-Luton Football Playoff Chances

Class 4A, District 1 · 5-0 (1-0 district) · Updated Sep 26, 2026

Make playoffs>99%
Projected record9-0
Win district98%
Host first game>99%
Reach UNI-Dome66%
Win state10%

Sergeant Bluff-Luton (5-0) is projected to finish 9-0 and makes the Class 4A playoffs in >99% of 20,000 simulated seasons, most likely finishing 1st in District 1 (wins it 98%). Its most likely first playoff game: home against #15 North Scott. Chance to reach the UNI-Dome semifinals: 66%; to win the Class 4A state title: 10%.

Open the interactive Class 4A playoff machine for Sergeant Bluff-Luton →

Remaining schedule and picks

WeekOpponentOur pickChanceConfidence
Wk 6at Storm LakeSergeant Bluff-Luton>99%Lock
Wk 7vs Le MarsSergeant Bluff-Luton96%Lock
Wk 8at Sioux City WestSergeant Bluff-Luton>99%Lock
Wk 9vs SpencerSergeant Bluff-Luton95%Lock

Lock picks (90%+) were right 97% of the time on Iowa games from 2021 to 2025.

District 1 standings outlook

TeamOverallDistrict1st2nd3rd4thPlayoffs
Sergeant Bluff-Luton5-01-098%2%<1%<1%>99%
Fort Dodge4-10-1<1%75%19%5%97%
Spencer3-21-01%17%64%13%85%
Le Mars2-30-1<1%5%14%67%15%
Sioux City West4-11-0<1%<1%3%15%1%
Storm Lake1-40-10%0%<1%0%0%

Chance of each district finish. Ties go by head-to-head, then the 17-point tiebreaker.

Other Class 4A teams