Class 3A, District 4 · 5-0 (1-0 district) · Updated Sep 26, 2026
Solon (5-0) is projected to finish 9-0 and makes the Class 3A playoffs in >99% of 20,000 simulated seasons, most likely finishing 1st in District 4 (wins it >99%). Its most likely first playoff game: home against #16 Harlan Community. Chance to reach the UNI-Dome semifinals: 85%; to win the Class 3A state title: 48%.
Open the interactive Class 3A playoff machine for Solon →| Week | Opponent | Our pick | Chance | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wk 6 | at Keokuk | Solon | 100% | Lock |
| Wk 7 | at Washington | Solon | >99% | Lock |
| Wk 8 | vs Mount Pleasant | Solon | >99% | Lock |
| Wk 9 | vs Fort Madison | Solon | >99% | Lock |
Lock picks (90%+) were right 97% of the time on Iowa games from 2021 to 2025.
| Team | Overall | District | 1st | 2nd | 3rd | 4th | Playoffs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Solon | 5-0 | 1-0 | >99% | <1% | 0% | 0% | >99% |
| Mount Pleasant | 5-0 | 1-0 | <1% | 81% | 16% | 3% | >99% |
| Fairfield | 2-3 | 0-1 | 0% | 14% | 41% | 30% | 46% |
| Washington | 3-2 | 0-1 | <1% | 3% | 34% | 40% | 42% |
| Fort Madison | 3-2 | 1-0 | 0% | 2% | 9% | 28% | 11% |
| Keokuk | 1-4 | 0-1 | 0% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
Chance of each district finish. Ties go by head-to-head, then the 17-point tiebreaker.