Class 3A, District 1 · 5-0 (1-0 district) · Updated Sep 26, 2026
Sioux Center (5-0) is projected to finish 9-0 and makes the Class 3A playoffs in >99% of 20,000 simulated seasons, most likely finishing 1st in District 1 (wins it 88%). Its most likely first playoff game: home against #13 Assumption. Chance to reach the UNI-Dome semifinals: 27%; to win the Class 3A state title: <1%.
Open the interactive Class 3A playoff machine for Sioux Center →| Week | Opponent | Our pick | Chance | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wk 6 | vs Webster City | Sioux Center | 96% | Lock |
| Wk 7 | vs Algona | Sioux Center | 88% | Strong |
| Wk 8 | at MOC-Floyd Valley | Sioux Center | 84% | Strong |
| Wk 9 | at Humboldt | Sioux Center | 84% | Strong |
Lock picks (90%+) were right 97% of the time on Iowa games from 2021 to 2025.
| Team | Overall | District | 1st | 2nd | 3rd | 4th | Playoffs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sioux Center | 5-0 | 1-0 | 88% | 8% | 3% | <1% | >99% |
| Bishop Heelan | 2-3 | 0-1 | 5% | 62% | 22% | 6% | 76% |
| Algona | 2-3 | 1-0 | 4% | 18% | 43% | 22% | 23% |
| Webster City | 1-4 | 1-0 | <1% | 5% | 15% | 32% | 6% |
| Humboldt | 0-5 | 0-1 | <1% | 4% | 11% | 17% | 4% |
| MOC-Floyd Valley | 2-3 | 0-1 | <1% | 3% | 6% | 23% | 5% |
Chance of each district finish. Ties go by head-to-head, then the 17-point tiebreaker.