Fairfield Football Playoff Chances
Class 3A, District 4 · 2-3 (0-1 district) · Updated Sep 26, 2026
Make playoffs46%
Projected record5-4
Win district0%
Host first game<1%
Reach UNI-Dome<1%
Win state0%
Fairfield (2-3) is projected to finish 5-4 and makes the Class 3A playoffs in 46% of 20,000 simulated seasons, most likely finishing 3rd in District 4 (wins it 0%). Its most likely first playoff game: at #2 Des Moines Christian. Chance to reach the UNI-Dome semifinals: <1%; to win the Class 3A state title: 0%.
Open the interactive Class 3A playoff machine for Fairfield →Remaining schedule and picks
| Week | Opponent | Our pick | Chance | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wk 6 | vs Washington | Fairfield | 58% | Toss-up |
| Wk 7 | vs Fort Madison | Fairfield | 79% | Strong |
| Wk 8 | at Keokuk | Fairfield | 91% | Lock |
| Wk 9 | at Mount Pleasant | Mount Pleasant | 80% | Strong |
Lock picks (90%+) were right 97% of the time on Iowa games from 2021 to 2025.
District 4 standings outlook
| Team | Overall | District | 1st | 2nd | 3rd | 4th | Playoffs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Solon | 5-0 | 1-0 | >99% | <1% | 0% | 0% | >99% |
| Mount Pleasant | 5-0 | 1-0 | <1% | 81% | 16% | 3% | >99% |
| Fairfield | 2-3 | 0-1 | 0% | 14% | 41% | 30% | 46% |
| Washington | 3-2 | 0-1 | <1% | 3% | 34% | 40% | 42% |
| Fort Madison | 3-2 | 1-0 | 0% | 2% | 9% | 28% | 11% |
| Keokuk | 1-4 | 0-1 | 0% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
Chance of each district finish. Ties go by head-to-head, then the 17-point tiebreaker.
Other Class 3A teams
- Algona
- Assumption
- Atlantic
- Benton
- Bishop Heelan
- Carroll
- Center Point-Urbana
- Central DeWitt
- Charles City
- Clear Lake
- Creston
- Des Moines Christian
- Fort Madison
- Greene County
- Harlan Community
- Humboldt
- Independence
- Iowa Falls-Alden
- Keokuk
- Knoxville
- MOC-Floyd Valley
- Maquoketa
- Mount Pleasant
- Mount Vernon
- Nevada
- Perry
- Saydel
- Sioux Center
- Solon
- Wahlert Catholic
- Washington
- Webster City
- West Delaware
- Williamsburg
- Winterset