Class 3A, District 3 · 3-2 (1-0 district) · Updated Sep 26, 2026
Assumption (3-2) is projected to finish 5-4 and makes the Class 3A playoffs in 94% of 20,000 simulated seasons, most likely finishing 3rd in District 3 (wins it 8%). Its most likely first playoff game: at #3 Wahlert Catholic. Chance to reach the UNI-Dome semifinals: 3%; to win the Class 3A state title: <1%.
Open the interactive Class 3A playoff machine for Assumption →| Week | Opponent | Our pick | Chance | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wk 6 | vs Maquoketa | Assumption | >99% | Lock |
| Wk 7 | at Wahlert Catholic | Wahlert Catholic | 83% | Strong |
| Wk 8 | vs Center Point-Urbana | Assumption | 98% | Lock |
| Wk 9 | at Mount Vernon | Mount Vernon | 73% | Lean |
Lock picks (90%+) were right 97% of the time on Iowa games from 2021 to 2025.
| Team | Overall | District | 1st | 2nd | 3rd | 4th | Playoffs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wahlert Catholic | 4-1 | 1-0 | 66% | 25% | 7% | 1% | >99% |
| Mount Vernon | 4-1 | 1-0 | 25% | 48% | 24% | 2% | >99% |
| Assumption | 3-2 | 1-0 | 8% | 26% | 65% | <1% | 94% |
| Central DeWitt | 2-3 | 0-1 | <1% | <1% | 4% | 78% | 4% |
| Center Point-Urbana | 2-3 | 0-1 | 0% | <1% | <1% | 17% | <1% |
| Maquoketa | 0-5 | 0-1 | 0% | 0% | <1% | <1% | 0% |
Chance of each district finish. Ties go by head-to-head, then the 17-point tiebreaker.