Class A, District 6 · 5-0 (3-0 district) · Updated Sep 26, 2026
Madrid (5-0) is projected to finish 8-0 and makes the Class A playoffs in >99% of 20,000 simulated seasons, most likely finishing 1st in District 6 (wins it 58%). Its most likely first playoff game: home against D5 4th Van Buren County. Chance to reach the UNI-Dome semifinals: 24%; to win the Class A state title: 1%.
Open the interactive Class A playoff machine for Madrid →| Week | Opponent | Our pick | Chance | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wk 6 | vs Lynnville-Sully | Madrid | 63% | Lean |
| Wk 7 | vs Martensdale-St Marys | Madrid | 84% | Strong |
| Wk 8 | at Colfax-Mingo | Madrid | 99% | Lock |
Lock picks (90%+) were right 97% of the time on Iowa games from 2021 to 2025.
| Team | Overall | District | 1st | 2nd | 3rd | 4th | Playoffs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Madrid | 5-0 | 3-0 | 58% | 36% | 6% | <1% | >99% |
| Lynnville-Sully | 4-1 | 3-0 | 39% | 57% | 2% | 1% | >99% |
| Martensdale-St Marys | 4-1 | 3-1 | 2% | 6% | 88% | 4% | >99% |
| Earlham | 2-3 | 1-2 | 0% | <1% | 4% | 53% | 58% |
| Colfax-Mingo | 3-2 | 1-2 | 0% | 0% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| BGM | 3-3 | 1-3 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 41% | 41% |
| North Mahaska | 0-5 | 0-4 | 0% | 0% | 0% | <1% | <1% |
Chance of each district finish. Ties go by head-to-head, then the 17-point tiebreaker.