Class A, District 1 · 2-3 (1-2 district) · Updated Sep 27, 2026
Hartley-Melvin-Sanborn (2-3) is projected to finish 2-6 and makes the Class A playoffs in 29% of 20,000 simulated seasons, most likely finishing 6th in District 1 (wins it 0%). Its most likely first playoff game: at D8 1st Woodbury Central. Chance to reach the UNI-Dome semifinals: 0%; to win the Class A state title: 0%.
Open the interactive Class A playoff machine for Hartley-Melvin-Sanborn →| Week | Opponent | Our pick | Chance | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wk 6 | vs Sioux Central | Sioux Central | 56% | Toss-up |
| Wk 7 | at Sibley-Ocheyedan | Sibley-Ocheyedan | 57% | Toss-up |
| Wk 8 | at MMCRU | MMCRU | 80% | Strong |
Lock picks (90%+) were right 97% of the time on Iowa games from 2021 to 2025.
| Team | Overall | District | 1st | 2nd | 3rd | 4th | Playoffs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| West Sioux | 5-0 | 3-0 | 95% | 5% | <1% | 0% | >99% |
| Gehlen Catholic | 4-1 | 3-0 | 4% | 56% | 40% | <1% | >99% |
| MMCRU | 3-2 | 3-0 | 1% | 39% | 54% | 6% | >99% |
| Hartley-Melvin-Sanborn | 2-3 | 1-2 | 0% | <1% | 6% | 23% | 29% |
| Sioux Central | 1-4 | 1-3 | 0% | 0% | <1% | 51% | 51% |
| Sibley-Ocheyedan | 1-4 | 1-3 | 0% | 0% | <1% | 20% | 20% |
| South O'Brien | 0-5 | 0-4 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Chance of each district finish. Ties go by head-to-head, then the 17-point tiebreaker.