Class A, District 1 · 4-1 (3-0 district) · Updated Sep 26, 2026
Gehlen Catholic (4-1) is projected to finish 6-2 and makes the Class A playoffs in >99% of 20,000 simulated seasons, most likely finishing 2nd in District 1 (wins it 4%). Its most likely first playoff game: home against D8 3rd IKM-Manning. Chance to reach the UNI-Dome semifinals: 7%; to win the Class A state title: <1%.
Open the interactive Class A playoff machine for Gehlen Catholic →| Week | Opponent | Our pick | Chance | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wk 6 | at MMCRU | Gehlen Catholic | 58% | Toss-up |
| Wk 7 | vs South O'Brien | Gehlen Catholic | 98% | Lock |
| Wk 8 | at West Sioux | West Sioux | 95% | Lock |
Lock picks (90%+) were right 97% of the time on Iowa games from 2021 to 2025.
| Team | Overall | District | 1st | 2nd | 3rd | 4th | Playoffs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| West Sioux | 5-0 | 3-0 | 95% | 5% | <1% | 0% | >99% |
| Gehlen Catholic | 4-1 | 3-0 | 4% | 56% | 40% | <1% | >99% |
| MMCRU | 3-2 | 3-0 | 1% | 39% | 54% | 6% | >99% |
| Hartley-Melvin-Sanborn | 2-3 | 1-2 | 0% | <1% | 6% | 23% | 29% |
| Sioux Central | 1-4 | 1-3 | 0% | 0% | <1% | 51% | 51% |
| Sibley-Ocheyedan | 1-4 | 1-3 | 0% | 0% | <1% | 20% | 20% |
| South O'Brien | 0-5 | 0-4 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Chance of each district finish. Ties go by head-to-head, then the 17-point tiebreaker.