Class 1A, District 4 · 3-2 (1-1 district) · Updated Sep 26, 2026
Union Community (3-2) is projected to finish 5-3 and makes the Class 1A playoffs in 90% of 20,000 simulated seasons, most likely finishing 3rd in District 4 (wins it <1%). Its most likely first playoff game: home against D3 3rd Grundy Center. Chance to reach the UNI-Dome semifinals: <1%; to win the Class 1A state title: 0%.
Open the interactive Class 1A playoff machine for Union Community →| Week | Opponent | Our pick | Chance | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wk 6 | vs Hudson | Hudson | 60% | Lean |
| Wk 7 | vs Columbus Catholic | Union Community | 60% | Lean |
| Wk 8 | at Sumner-Fredericksburg | Union Community | 74% | Lean |
Lock picks (90%+) were right 97% of the time on Iowa games from 2021 to 2025.
| Team | Overall | District | 1st | 2nd | 3rd | 4th | Playoffs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aplington-Parkersburg | 5-0 | 2-0 | 92% | 7% | <1% | 0% | >99% |
| Hudson | 3-2 | 2-0 | 7% | 64% | 27% | 1% | >99% |
| Union Community | 3-2 | 1-1 | <1% | 27% | 37% | 25% | 90% |
| Columbus Catholic | 1-4 | 1-1 | <1% | 1% | 29% | 54% | 85% |
| Sumner-Fredericksburg | 1-4 | 0-2 | 0% | <1% | 6% | 19% | 25% |
| Jesup | 0-5 | 0-2 | 0% | 0% | 0% | <1% | <1% |
Chance of each district finish. Ties go by head-to-head, then the 17-point tiebreaker.